Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 71% (40–16, n=56) · was PM monthly #981 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$22.7K
Record
40W / 16L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 56 settled
Batting Avg
52.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#486
Source
PM monthly #981
Record (90 d)
43/48 · 90%
Trades
2,041
Markets
77
Volume
$434.2K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)Murtazali Magomedov $2.5K · now 48¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Jose Delano)
- UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)Mitch Raposo $2.3K · now 32¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (Marcos Degli)
Specialties
48 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 67¢- MMA
+22 pts
side won 90% of 48 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +21%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 67% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 100% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 83% of 18)
- 70¢ and up: 46%(won 95% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.