Consensus PnL $12K · win rate 75% (191–64, n=255) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$11.9K
Record
191W / 64L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 255 settled
Batting Avg
58.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#574
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
6,747
Markets
384
Volume
$1.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Plague pandemic in 2026?No $157 · now 98¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (100% of 7)
Specialties
316 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 77¢- Geopolitics
+5 pts
side won 84% of 68 · avg entry 79¢
ROI +1%
- Finance
+6 pts
side won 79% of 34 · avg entry 74¢
ROI −8%
- Tech
+3 pts
side won 86% of 14 · avg entry 83¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Elections — held side won 73% of 22 at an average 77¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 21% of 48)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 36% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 86% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 76%(won 93% of 240)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.