Consensus PnL $437K · win rate 80% (609–156, n=765) · PM monthly #679 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$437.2K
Record
609W / 156L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 765 settled
Batting Avg
60.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#457
Source
PM monthly #679
Record (90 d)
430/499 · 86%
Trades
15,756
Markets
994
Volume
$10.4M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina PapamichailMaria Lourdes Carle $306 · now 35¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (Despina Papamichail)
Specialties
680 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 77¢- Tennis
+6 pts
side won 85% of 615 · avg entry 79¢
ROI +8%
- MMA
+14 pts
side won 75% of 20 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +3%
- Soccer
+7 pts
side won 74% of 39 · avg entry 67¢
ROI 0%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 13% of 31)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 57% of 56)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 71% of 124)
- 70¢ and up: 69%(won 95% of 469)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.