Consensus PnL $415K · win rate 60% (1171–787, n=1958) · PM monthly #197 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$414.9K
Record
1171W / 787L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 1958 settled
Batting Avg
49.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#756
Source
PM monthly #197
Record (90 d)
502/661 · 76%
Trades
50,127
Markets
2,456
Volume
$14.8M
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Specialties
1,721 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+44 pts
side won 99% of 102 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +43%
- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 73% of 1585 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +8%
- NFL
+20 pts
side won 86% of 29 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 47% of 213)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 63% of 438)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 79% of 575)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 93% of 495)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.