Consensus PnL $44K · win rate 53% (1260–1114, n=2374) · was PM monthly #705 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$43.6K
Record
1260W / 1114L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 2374 settled
Batting Avg
45.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1545
Source
PM monthly #705
Trades
1,149
Markets
2,479
Volume
$8.1M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters PlayoffsLow Cortisol $3.7K · now 71¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (43% of 7)
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 WinnerIberian Soul $203 · now 40¢ · in at 71¢with the consensus (75% of 10)
Specialties
1,712 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 55¢- Soccer
+25 pts
side won 69% of 463 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +28%
- Esports
+16 pts
side won 76% of 1211 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +19%
Weakest: F1 — held side won 29% of 17 at an average 32¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 35% of 148)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 65% of 409)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 77% of 878)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 95% of 277)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.