Consensus PnL $163K · win rate 41% (13–19, n=32) · PM monthly #150 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$163.1K
Record
13W / 19L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 32 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2449
Source
PM monthly #150
Record (90 d)
13/13 · 100%
Trades
257
Markets
35
Volume
$1.5M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 3 on the consensus side (0%)- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03?Yes $22K · now 4¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Yes $12K · now 14¢ · in at 14¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?Yes $8.0K · now 12¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 35¢- Soccer
+65 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +64%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 38%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.