Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 59% (61–42, n=103) · was PM monthly #911 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$21.9K
Record
61W / 42L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 103 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1250
Source
PM monthly #911
Trades
4
Markets
116
Volume
$43.9K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 5 on the consensus side (60%)- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Yes $9.9K · now 41¢ · in at 68¢against the consensus (No)
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?Yes $321 · now 28¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Yes $82 · now 83¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (65% of 35)
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BBetBoom Team $49 · now 64¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?Yes $3 · now 64¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 58¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where PLACEYOURBETS123's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 23%(won 67% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 46%(won 100% of 12)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.