Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 77% (344–105, n=449) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$27.3K
Record
344W / 105L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 449 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#513
Source
PM monthly #997
Record (90 d)
116/166 · 70%
Trades
275
Markets
501
Volume
$243.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Jaguars vs. RavensRavens $459 · now 21¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (Jaguars)
Specialties
239 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 40¢- Soccer
+23 pts
side won 72% of 54 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +19%
- Tennis
+15 pts
side won 50% of 54 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +18%
- Esports
+10 pts
side won 52% of 65 · avg entry 43¢
ROI +6%
Weakest: NHL — held side won 25% of 12 at an average 32¢ entry (−7 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 33%(won 30% of 80)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 50% of 78)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 76% of 55)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 88% of 26)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.