Back to Traders
Consensus PnL $382K · win rate 71% (12–5, n=17) · was PM monthly #170 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x0af037c5...8296d425Polymarket
🐋Whale⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$382.2K
Record
12W / 5L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 17 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#721
Source
PM monthly #170 + pinned
Trades
3,009
Markets
38
Volume
$6.2M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $475K · now 95¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (79% of 106)
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $22K · now 72¢ · in at 67¢with the consensus (67% of 67)
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes $15K · now 71¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (82% of 108)
Specialties
27 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 90¢- Crypto
+8 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 92¢
ROI +5%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 7%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 89%(won 100% of 24)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.