Consensus PnL -$71K · win rate 49% (357–369, n=726) · was PM monthly #917 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-70.6K
Record
357W / 369L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 726 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1839
Source
PM monthly #917
Trades
108
Markets
742
Volume
$1.6M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATheMongolz $2.8K · now 48¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (Legacy)
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters PlayoffsImperial $1.8K · now 42¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
442 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 84% of 417 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +30%
- Soccer
+30 pts
side won 82% of 22 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 55% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 78% of 115)
- 50–70¢: 63%(won 87% of 278)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 89% of 38)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.