Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 78% (3312–933, n=4245) · PM monthly #705 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$24.2K
Record
3312W / 933L
Win Rate
78.0%
of 4245 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#482
Source
PM monthly #705
Trades
63
Markets
4,595
Volume
$469.2K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over $1.1K · now 83¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over $46 · now 44¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (60% of 29)
Specialties
1,807 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 59¢- Soccer
+8 pts
side won 67% of 1795 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +3%
- NHL
+20 pts
side won 33% of 12 · avg entry 14¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 20%(won 24% of 357)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 52% of 258)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 73% of 353)
- 70¢ and up: 46%(won 88% of 839)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.