Consensus PnL -$34K · win rate 61% (969–631, n=1600) · was PM monthly #956 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-34.1K
Record
969W / 631L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 1600 settled
Batting Avg
70.6%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#704
Source
PM monthly #956
Record (90 d)
230/269 · 86%
Trades
15,003
Markets
1,932
Volume
$4.8M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsMOUZ $6.4K · now 97¢ · in at 81¢with the consensus (60% of 49)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsNatus Vincere $3.7K · now 100¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (46% of 38)
Specialties
1,322 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+16 pts
side won 73% of 1313 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +13%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 41% of 128)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 59% of 349)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 79% of 477)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 89% of 368)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.