Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 48% (127–138, n=265) · was PM monthly #444 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$10.1K
Record
127W / 138L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 265 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1281
Source
PM monthly #444
Record (90 d)
121/125 · 97%
Trades
923
Markets
310
Volume
$369.1K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5Under $2.0K · now 54¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-08?No $32 · now 42¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic $10 · now 20¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (Warriors)
Specialties
113 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+52 pts
side won 100% of 61 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +52%
- NFL
+48 pts
side won 100% of 38 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 100% of 61)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 100% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.