Consensus PnL -$110K · win rate 67% (672–329, n=1001) · was PM monthly #700 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-109.6K
Record
672W / 329L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 1001 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#886
Source
PM monthly #700
Record (90 d)
401/598 · 67%
Trades
259
Markets
1,099
Volume
$3.9M
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Specialties
976 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 68¢- Other Sports
+4 pts
side won 76% of 242 · avg entry 72¢
ROI −2%
- MMA
+9 pts
side won 78% of 32 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +6%
- NFL
+16 pts
side won 82% of 11 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +12%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 65% of 342 at an average 66¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −7%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 11% of 46)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 31% of 97)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 65% of 344)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 85% of 489)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.