Consensus PnL -$54K · win rate 84% (52–10, n=62) · PM monthly #865 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-54.0K
Record
52W / 10L
Win Rate
84.0%
of 62 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#266
Source
PM monthly #865
Record (90 d)
61/67 · 91%
Trades
0
Markets
435
Volume
$2.0M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 $37K · now 100¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (53% of 116)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming $18K · now 100¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (58% of 122)
Specialties
29 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 72¢- Esports
+25 pts
side won 97% of 29 · avg entry 72¢
ROI −4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 100% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 59%(won 100% of 17)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.