Consensus PnL $158K · win rate 66% (66–34, n=100) · was PM monthly #936 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$157.9K
Record
66W / 34L
Win Rate
66.0%
of 100 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#908
Source
PM monthly #936
Trades
24
Markets
102
Volume
$1.8M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF $21K · now 90¢ · in at 40¢with the consensus (59% of 33)
Specialties
92 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+40 pts
side won 94% of 17 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +33%
- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 64% of 55 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +31%
- MMA
+17 pts
side won 58% of 12 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +17%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 67% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 51%(won 64% of 47)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 80% of 30)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.