Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 61% (158–102, n=260) · was PM monthly #895 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$19.2K
Record
158W / 102L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 260 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1125
Source
PM monthly #895
Trades
142
Markets
310
Volume
$639.9K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $17K · now 6¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
- Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $202 · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes $31 · now 14¢ · in at 14¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
Specialties
253 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 58¢- Other Sports
+48 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +50%
- NBA
+17 pts
side won 72% of 43 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +5%
- Tennis
+18 pts
side won 77% of 26 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +17%
Weakest: Entertainment — held side won 70% of 10 at an average 74¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI +12%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 31% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 53% of 60)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 68% of 117)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 97% of 60)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.