Consensus PnL $89K · win rate 58% (1069–777, n=1846) · PM monthly #661 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$88.8K
Record
1069W / 777L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1846 settled
Batting Avg
69.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1343
Source
PM monthly #661
Record (90 d)
769/1141 · 67%
Trades
62,543
Markets
2,755
Volume
$4.0M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsInvictus Gaming $50 · now 55¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (45% of 40)
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?Yes $25 · now 77¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (42% of 33)
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?No $25 · now 53¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (29% of 21)
Specialties
1,480 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 58¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 63% of 1355 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +3%
- Esports
+7 pts
side won 60% of 121 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 11% of 424)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 37% of 155)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 75% of 210)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 97% of 691)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.