Consensus PnL $490 · win rate 81% (42–10, n=52) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$489.69
Record
42W / 10L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 52 settled
Batting Avg
60.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#419
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
3,150
Markets
110
Volume
$1.5M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?Yes $3.0K · now 95¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
- Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes $230 · now 91¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (45% of 20)
Specialties
97 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 87¢- Finance
+5 pts
side won 92% of 25 · avg entry 87¢
ROI −1%
- Economy
+7 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 78% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 89%(won 94% of 86)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.