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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpnorthdrawer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (62–70, n=132)75% (743–249, n=992)85% (17–3, n=20)
Consensus PnL—-$493K$70K-$494
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #134
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)70% (95 of 135 open)92% (322 of 350 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Economy −6 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%92% of 169 at avg 93¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)5% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)2% (won 50% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)91% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpnorthdrawer
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
—Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $415—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $90Vikings $6—