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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankfantasy7788
Record (consensus markets)no settled market98% (41–1, n=42)56% (20–16, n=36)50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL—$190$822K$181K
Tracked as—PM monthly #209PM monthly #1PM monthly #158
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (285 of 334 open)33% (2 of 6 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +3 pts n=10, ROI −34%
  • NBA +52 pts n=11, ROI +49%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—88% of 84 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 11% of 9)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢—0%60% (won 100% of 12)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 0% of 2)35% (won 100% of 7)67% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—87% (won 100% of 73)5% (won 100% of 1)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.