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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677pakukudolphi
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market45% (10–12, n=22)48% (96–103, n=199)
Consensus PnL——$5.3M$169K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2was PM monthly #989
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position84% (16 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———MLB −28 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won——59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 191 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——12% (won 0% of 2)38% (won 8% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢——6% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 33% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢——65% (won 73% of 11)21% (won 56% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up——18% (won 67% of 3)26% (won 90% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.