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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00akrollFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market26% (454–1281, n=1735)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL—$39K$1.4M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #76PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (29 of 29 open)67% (81 of 121 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=191NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—48% of 592 at avg 49¢, ROI +12%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—45% (won 2% of 269)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 42% of 31)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 59% of 37)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 95% of 255)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.