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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00akrollndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (281–529, n=810)66% (870–454, n=1324)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$119K$4.2M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #112PM monthly #12—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (28 of 37 open)69% (25 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=72NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0%52% (won 1% of 205)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%2% (won 43% of 7)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)4% (won 53% of 15)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%42% (won 96% of 167)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00akrollndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $23KNo $241K—