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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4ndb1quietparcel
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market63% (1095–631, n=1726)32% (8108–17557, n=25665)
Consensus PnL——$4.8M-$140K
Tracked as——PM monthly #118PM monthly #226
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)95% (38 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Mentions −5 pts, n=903
Settled positions, side won——64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%33% of 6628 at avg 36¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢——13% (won 14% of 187)64% (won 1% of 4252)
Entries 30–50¢——19% (won 39% of 269)2% (won 39% of 123)
Entries 50–70¢——23% (won 57% of 328)3% (won 59% of 203)
Entries 70¢ and up——44% (won 94% of 622)31% (won 96% of 2050)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.