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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00sainttroplay0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)46% (131–154, n=285)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$4.4M$19.0M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #715PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position88% (145 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%0%0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 46% of 565)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)57% (won 51% of 766)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%0% (won 100% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.