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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (455–650, n=1105) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #736 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (62 of 88 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −1 pts, n=844 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 1% of 561) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 43) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 64% of 44) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 99% of 854) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $358 |