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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (454–651, n=1105)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.5M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #736PM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus63% (24 of 38 open)71% (82 of 115 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=844Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 1% of 561)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 43)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 44)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 854)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3——No $358