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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684joseph00677beachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)37% (518–875, n=1393)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$162K$5.6M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #820PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +7 pts n=34, ROI +6%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=19, ROI +3%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=945—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won34% of 1226 at avg 35¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 9% of 621)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 41% of 244)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 213)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 87% of 148)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.