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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)no settled market68% (304–140, n=444)
Consensus PnL—-$6.1K—-$54K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #188PM monthly #23PM monthly #7PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −2 pts, n=33——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 32% of 19)8% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 48% of 97)8% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 55% of 150)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 80% of 71)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.