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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpojgrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (743–249, n=992)88% (60–8, n=68)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$7.3K$307K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #591PM monthly #42 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)70% (95 of 135 open)50% (1 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 49 at avg 83¢, ROI −4%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)0%5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)16% (won 100% of 8)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)78% (won 100% of 38)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpojgrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $3.7K—Cameron Norrie $756—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $415——
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
same side · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $908Hugo Gaston $298—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——