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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GamblingOdysseyjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)55% (909–743, n=1652)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$737K$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #890PM monthly #3PM monthly #90
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position72% (53 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%57% of 1619 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)18% (won 24% of 293)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)39% (won 47% of 625)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)22% (won 76% of 362)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)21% (won 84% of 339)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.