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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 75% (741–246, n=987) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $281 | $70K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #270 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #6 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 65% (69 of 106 open) | 67% (86 of 129 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 59¢, ROI +23% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 69% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira same side · consensus Tiago Pereira | Kilian Feldbausch $124K | — | Kilian Feldbausch $3.6K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $419 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $6 | — |