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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465classifiedJamesAltucherWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$420K$4.0K—-$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #290was PM monthly #531PM monthly #341
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)42% (5 of 12 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%83% of 6 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%—100% of 3 at avg 74¢, ROI +26%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)17% (won 0% of 1)—0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)0%—0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)17% (won 100% of 1)—0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)67% (won 100% of 4)—100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.