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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d800gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)64% (100–56, n=156)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$44K$3.5M$10.6M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position88% (133 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicEsports −6 pts, n=55———
Settled positions, side won62% of 143 at avg 61¢, ROI +10%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 33% of 9)0%10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 34)0%36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 59% of 49)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 86% of 51)0%19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.