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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3968b9ccb92062667295229330f8051afd7d6346sainttroplaysurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)70% (129–55, n=184)71% (10–4, n=14)52% (301–278, n=579)
Consensus PnL-$681$4.4M-$62K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position18% (2 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=151, ROI +10%
  • NBA +3 pts n=85, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=75
Settled positions, side won96% of 23 at avg 51¢, ROI +34%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)0%21% (won 14% of 123)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 90% of 10)50% (won 100% of 5)23% (won 48% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 100% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 59% of 193)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%25% (won 81% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.