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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3bf57663998170f8Ca96c5E91fef4092A8aa2307-1780525562609beachboy4surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)86% (1935–303, n=2238)68% (43–20, n=63)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$111K$5.8M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won86% of 1964 at avg 83¢, ROI +3%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 12% of 124)3% (won 17% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 42% of 106)29% (won 56% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 67% of 153)54% (won 51% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 97% of 1581)14% (won 86% of 29)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.