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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3bf57663998170f8Ca96c5E91fef4092A8aa2307-1780525562609surfandturfjoseph00677BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)86% (1935–303, n=2238)54% (225–189, n=414)50% (10–10, n=20)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$111K$9.4M$5.3M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 1964 at avg 83¢, ROI +3%——97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 12% of 124)——10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 42% of 106)——36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 67% of 153)——35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 97% of 1581)——19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.