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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)56% (3671–2839, n=6510)63% (1100–635, n=1735)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus92% (12 of 13 open)71% (67 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment −2 pts, n=32NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won56% of 5769 at avg 56¢, ROI +2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 19% of 519)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 1945)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 53% of 2104)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 95% of 1201)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.