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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816beachboy4pleaseplease123joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)71% (412–171, n=583)68% (43–20, n=63)51% (196–192, n=388)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$59K$5.8M$5.0M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #700was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #92PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won76% of 516 at avg 74¢, ROI +4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%——
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 18)3% (won 17% of 6)——
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 44% of 32)29% (won 56% of 62)——
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 66% of 120)54% (won 51% of 115)——
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 86% of 346)14% (won 86% of 29)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.