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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #410PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (32 of 58 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −9 pts, n=137—
Settled positions, side won40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 6% of 1254)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 36% of 922)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 64% of 1045)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 431)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.