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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677northdrawer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)58% (10675–7673, n=18348)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$55K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position81% (216 of 266 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −3 pts, n=341
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)57% (won 0% of 3123)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 46% of 134)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 61% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)37% (won 96% of 2010)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.