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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-176243647255400gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (3014–2426, n=5440)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$50K$3.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=144, ROI −4%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis ±0 pts, n=2034———
Settled positions, side won55% of 4901 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 651)0%0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 40% of 1371)0%50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 61% of 1640)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 84% of 1239)0%0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.