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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LinaBell🦊CORGIIsurfandturfpleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)12% (246–1846, n=2092)62% (395–247, n=642)54% (225–189, n=414)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL$51K$4.5M$9.4M$5.0M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicPolitics βˆ’4 pts, n=11β€”β€”β€”
Settled positions, side won15% of 2378 at avg 14Β’, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46Β’, ROI +55%β€”β€”
Entries under 30Β’87% (won 2% of 2062)9% (won 92% of 36)β€”β€”
Entries 30–50Β’1% (won 96% of 23)56% (won 99% of 223)β€”β€”
Entries 50–70Β’1% (won 100% of 25)33% (won 100% of 133)β€”β€”
Entries 70Β’ and up11% (won 99% of 268)2% (won 100% of 7)β€”β€”

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.