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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9surfandturfjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (590–417, n=1007)54% (225–189, n=414)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)
Consensus PnL$26K$9.4M$5.3M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #439was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +44 pts n=82, ROI +48%
  • NFL +49 pts n=19, ROI +61%
  • MLB +45 pts n=25, ROI +42%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 163 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%——94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 71% of 7)——10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 41)——22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢70% (won 99% of 114)——36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)——32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.