Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fjoseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)12% (540–3820, n=4360)53% (10–9, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$85K$5.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #240PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus57% (59 of 104 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
Weakest topicEntertainment −9 pts, n=171——
Settled positions, side won24% of 2552 at avg 28¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 2% of 1724)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 36% of 146)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 52% of 182)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 86% of 500)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.