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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (537–3802, n=4339) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$87K | $5.6M | $4.2M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (99 of 154 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (25 of 36 open) | no open consensus position |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −9 pts, n=171 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 24% of 2552 at avg 28¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 2% of 1724) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 182) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 86% of 500) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $110 | — | Yes $501K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $8 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $400 | — | No $202 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $190 | — | Yes $111 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $1.5M | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $231 | — | Yes $62K | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? same side · consensus No | No $66 | — | No $51 | — |