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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1pleaseplease123sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)61% (495–320, n=815)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)49% (345–353, n=698)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$13.4M$3.2M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=115—MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.