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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturfjoseph00677sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)61% (495–320, n=815)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$4.1M$5.3M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #51was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −11 pts, n=58——
Settled positions, side won60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 125)20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 58% of 283)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 80% of 60)26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturfjoseph00677sainttroplay
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4KNo $2.7K——