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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394BreakTheBank00gringo00surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)67% (213–107, n=320)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$114K$10.6M$3.5M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus88% (21 of 24 open)88% (133 of 151 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won72% of 225 at avg 72¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 17% of 24)10% (won 82% of 56)0%—
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 50% of 30)36% (won 98% of 198)0%—
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 53% of 32)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 91% of 139)19% (won 100% of 107)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.